If there is at least a 15% gap between top + second in both form and suitability, then it has a 35% chance of winning. If a horse is top-rated overall, with top form and top suitability, then it automatically has at least a 30% chance of winning. TFS is a strong indicator – it means Top + Form + Suited. If you scroll across on your selections tab, you come to some important final selections. Its previous races tend to matter less, so those values are depreciated over time. Obviously, its most recent performance shows you whether it’s in good nick or bad. I tend to apply this to the Last Race especially, as the Last Race (LR) is the most important guide to a horse’s form. If a horse is just 0.1% ahead of the 2nd-rated horse, then the difference between the two is minimal. This is really quite important for understanding form. This tells you who the top 3 horses are – but also by how much ahead of the next-rated horse they are. So the very first tab is your selections tab. That video was made ages ago, but it’s still totally valid. Every afternoon, we crunch the next day’s data and come up with ratings for every horse in every race in the UK & Ireland. The base of all of our ratings is the spreadsheet.
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